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A cloud no bigger than a man’s hand

July 14 2008
By Arthur Aughey

The cover design of the report by the Conservative Democracy Task Force Answering the Question: Devolution, the West Lothian Question and the Future of the Union shows bright blue sky edged by wispy white cloud. The thought that comes to mind is that familiar harbinger of catastrophe, ‘a cloud no bigger than a man’s hand’. Appropriately, Kenneth Clarke’s report is a form of ‘anticipatory conservatism’. It is a plan that anticipates potential catastrophe and advocates reform designed to prevent the storm clouds forming but is deeply conservative insofar as it advocates a modification of existing circumstances rather than radical change.

The taskforce believes that the present devolutionary arrangements are indeed a threat to the Union because the likely build up of English grievances ‘could undermine the current constitutional arrangements’. What must be avoided is the ‘sort of alienation’ experienced in Scotland in the 1980s and 1990s being replicated in England. The task force’s measure of the current state of English public opinion seems reasonably sound, for the moment at least. As the opinion research by Professor John Curtice consistently shows, the English have remained remarkably complacent about constitutional change and equally complaisant about the operation of devolved institutions in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.

Grievances there certainly are, however —especially over perceived disadvantages in levels of public expenditure between England and Scotland. But English nationalism is still a mood, not a movement, if only because the Conservative Party refuses to mobilise it as such. The taskforce’s objective is to prevent that mood becoming a movement, confirming the Unionism of the Conservative Party, something David Cameron has taken every opportunity to confirm since becoming leader.

If the report becomes party policy, which seems very likely, then the trajectory of Conservative thinking on the ‘English Question’ since 1997 is from constitutional maximalism to constitutional minimalism. It has gone from tentative support foran English parliament, through ‘English votes on English laws’ and Sir Malcolm Rifkind’s idea of an English grand committee,to this taskforce’s present recommendation of certified English bills being considered and voted on by English MPs only in committee and at the report stage. Under this proposal, the whole House would vote on second and third readings,reserving to all MPs decisions on the principle and the final passage of legislation.

Gareth Young (the ‘little man in a toque’), the most incisive of the English nationalist bloggers, argues that this represents a shift from ‘English votes on English laws’ to ‘English pauses on English clauses’. Those many critics who point out the political illogicality of the report perhaps miss the Conservative point. The logical solution to the West Lothian Question is an English parliament. Kenneth Clarke’s answer takes five pages to say what Disraeli said in one line: that England is governed not by logic but by parliament, and for the Conservatives that parliament remains Westminster.

Professor Curtice’s evidence again shows that the vast majority of English people, irrespective of the West Lothian Question, continue to believe that Westminster best protects their interests. Moreover, it is the accepted wisdom of most politicians, academics and commentators that an English parliament would mean the end of the Union and this option is specifically ruled out.

A close reading of the report suggests that, when it began to enquire deeply into practicalities, the task force realised what a damnably difficult question this really is, and that every possible answer generated only trickier questions. The report’s conclusion states that there is no perfect ‘answer’; the proposal is recommended on the basis of its practical implementation.

Unfortunately for this thesis of workability, on three occasions the report applies that magnificently imprecise description ‘not insuperable’: for the designation of English-only bills, for membership of standing committees and for reform of procedures in the House of Lords. One suspects that ‘not insuperable’ means ‘we don’t have an answer’,but a Conservative general election victory will put the West Lothian Question to bed.

There is, however, another interesting phrase used in the report which may be of greater significance for the future. That phrase is ‘an incentive to bargain’ which, it is claimed, would be a consequence of implementing these recommendations. Bargaining between the parties sounds very like the thing Conservative supporters of the first-past-the-post electoral system believe the British public are blessedly spared.

It could be argued, nonetheless, that the only form of reasoning that Conservatives find congenial — namely the Oakeshottian one that changes elsewhere make a tradition incoherent — applies now to Westminster elections. If PR is the norm for nearly all other elections, its introduction for Westminster no longer seems so inconceivable. It would invalidate the cry that ‘the Conservatives have no mandate in Scotland’, it would help Westminster to better reflect public opinion in the United Kingdom, and it might just smooth the particular difficulties this report addresses. Is any Unionist answer to the English Question now sufficient to satisfy English questions about the Unionist answer? That is the big unknown.

Arthur Aughey is Professor of Politics at the University of Ulster.  Despite living in Northern Ireland, he has a particular interest in the West Lothian Question – more so than most English people, sadly.

To address Arthur’s closing question from the perspective of the CEP – yes, an English Parliament is compatible with a unionist agenda and the CEP feels that the best way to preserve the union is to even things up and give England its own Parliament.  The biggest threat to the union south of the border is the West Lothian Question.

Both Labour and the Conservatives have been lucky so far in that the English have shown their traditional tolerance and fortitude in the face of increasing discrimination and really quite insulting lack of regard for the interests of England and the English.

Hell hath no fury like an Englishman scorned.

News

Spotted in Parliamentary Brief

This entry was posted on Tuesday, July 15th, 2008 at 10:47 am by News, is filed under West Lothian Question and tagged with , .
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5 Responses to “Parliamentary Brief: A cloud no bigger than a man’s hand”

  1. 1
    Comment by “Drew and Debs

    Arthur Aughey is an Irish unionist and thoroughly anti-English at the end of the day, and John Curtice’s research is highly flawed.

    The so-called alienation of the Scots in the 1980s and 1990s is rubbish. The Scots were starting to want out in the 1970s when they thought they could have all the North Sea Oil.

    Polls, including one for the BBC, show that the majority of people in England WANT an English Parliament.

  2. 2
    Comment by “aelwulf”

    Yes , the Curtice stidies are suspect

    Nevertheless, Prof Aughey does lay out the situation very well with a few gaps
    “The taskforce’s objective is to prevent that mood becoming a movement ” it already is and its parts include the CEP and the ED’s amongst others .

    The establishment parties are still at the phase of events where they can ignore them if they try though they know the problem exists. Westminster bubble and all that.

    The Professors last paragraph where he says that effectively the Tories will shift in the end but won’t unless they have to.ie will hold out until the situation becomes just too uncomfortable to sustain at which point they will shift and proclaim that actually they believed in the idea all along!

  3. 3
    Comment by “Omni”

    If having an English parliament means the end of the Union then so be it. Without having to support the other 3 countries of the Union England will be at least £60 billion better off, money that could be spent on the people of England instead.

  4. 4
    britologywatch
    Comment by “britologywatch

    I think Professor Aughey’s implication at the end is that PR for Westminster elections could provide a far simpler and potentially more sustainable ‘answer’ to the West Lothian Question. It is true that a proper PR system at the last election would have produced a very similar break-down by party in England only as for the whole of the UK. In such circumstances, the government would have to rely on the support of more than one party, whether it was a coalition or a minority administration. This means that, presumably, the same alliance would apply to England-only matters as to UK-wide ones. End of West Lothian problem.

    Except it doesn’t really end it, as Professor Aughey’s concluding remarks make clear. There’s still a problem that English people would have only one choice of party and party manifesto (or one set of candidates under the multi-member constituency STV voting system) to choose from in both England-specific and UK-wide areas of governance; while the other nations of the UK would be able to elect representatives to deal with matters specific to their countries separately from Westminster / UK elections. That right should also be granted to English people. So the answer from this English nationalist to a Unionist implementation of PR (as an answer to the West Lothian Question) is a definite ‘no’!

  5. 5
    Comment by “aelwulf”

    In fact FPTP is a very old English method of choosing a leader. While PR is interesting – whichever variety is used – it is not really in accord with English history , though it could become so.

    If PR were to be installed as part of the British/Westminster aparatus I don’t think it would make any difference at all to the WLQ . England would still be discriminated against as without a national pariament and government and this fact would still be conspicuous.

    What Prof. Aughey is referring to is the time lag that the Conservative party always needs, by virtue of being a conservative party, to absorb new ideas. They were anti women’s emancipation in the 1890′s to about 1914. At some time during the 1WW they seem to have accepted it was inevitable and to oppose it was indefensible.
    They also did their private political calculations and quietly decided that, actually, from a Conservative point of view it would probably be advantageous.
    So it happened.

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